US Stocks Edge Higher ahead Big Week of Risks
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29 July 2025,05:56

Daily Market Analysis

US Stocks Edge Higher ahead Big Week of Risks, Earnings Begins

29 July 2025, 05:56

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Key Takeaways:

*US Stocks Edge Higher as Big Week of Risks, Earnings Begins

*Federal Reserve meeting in focus, with markets betting on a dovish tone even as rates are expected to remain unchanged.

Market Summary:

US equities edged to fresh highs in muted Monday trading, as investors weighed a new US-EU trade pact against a barrage of looming catalysts—ranging from Big Tech earnings to the Federal Reserve’s policy decision and key US economic data.

The S&P 500 posted a sixth straight record close, rising slightly above the flatline. The Nasdaq Composite added 0.3%, also setting a fresh high, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.2%, dragged by weakness in cyclical names.

Trade Relief, but Caution Prevails:
Market sentiment was supported early in the session by news that the US and European Union had reached a preliminary trade agreement, capping tariffs on EU imports at 15%—half the level previously threatened. President Trump hailed the deal as “the biggest of them all,” though European officials struck a more cautious tone. The muted reaction in markets suggests optimism remains tempered ahead of key macro risks.

Mega Week of Earnings, Fed in Focus:
Traders now turn their attention to what may be the most consequential week of the quarter. Over 150 S&P 500 companies are set to report results, with Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) on deck Wednesday, followed by Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) Thursday. Given tech’s dominant role in the 2025 rally, results from these names could define near-term sentiment.

The Federal Reserve kicks off its two-day meeting Tuesday, with a decision due Wednesday. While policymakers are widely expected to hold rates at 4.25%-4.50%, investors will parse Chair Powell’s tone for any pivot toward rate cuts—possibly as early as September. Market focus also remains on inflation trends and the July jobs report due Friday.

Technical Analysis 

NASDAQ, H4

The Nasdaq continues its bullish momentum, having recently broken past previous highs and now testing Fibonacci expansion resistance at 23,585.00.

🔹 Trend Structure:
• Price action remains in a clean uptrend, supported by higher highs and higher lows.
• A confirmed breakout above 23,585.00 may pave the way for the next extension target at 25,350.00.

🔹 Momentum Indicators:
MACD is showing a mild bullish bias but the histogram is flattening, indicating weakening upside momentum in the short term.
RSI remains elevated at 73, suggesting overbought conditions and a possible consolidation or minor pullback before the next leg up.

Resistance Level: 23585.00, 25350.00
Support Levels: 22200.00, 21230.00

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