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Yen’s Collapse Underscores Market’s Loss of Faith in BoJ Tightening

Key Takeaways: *The probability of a near-term BoJ rate hike plunged from around 70% to 40%, prompting a rapid unwind of yen-long positions and fueling broad FX volatility. *“Takaichi Trade” emerges: Investors are rotating into a powerful three-way position that long Japanese equities, short government bonds, and short the yen as stimulus expectations surge. *JGBContinue Reading
Chart the Market (07/10/2025)

BTC, H4: Bitcoin continues to trade within a constructive pattern of higher lows, having recently established a fresh all-time high. However, the cryptocurrency is now testing a critical technical level at its uptrend support line—a breach of which would signal a potential near-term reversal in momentum. The ability to maintain this support will be crucialContinue Reading
Gold Hits Record High as Dollar’s Foundation Cracks

Key Takeaways: *Shutdown adds fiscal risk: The prolonged U.S. government shutdown has suspended key data and deepened concerns over debt and fiscal credibility. *Fed pivot priced in: Markets now see near certainty of an October rate cut and a strong chance of another by year-end, weighing on yield appeal. *Gold reclaims safe-haven dominance: Surging aboveContinue Reading
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