Published: 22 January 2026,03:31
Chart The Market
AUDUSD, H4:
The AUDUSD pair has confirmed a significant technical breakout, advancing to its highest level since October 2024. The move follows a period of constructive consolidation characterized by a series of higher lows, culminating in a decisive break above the recent trading range. This breakout suggests a strong bullish signal, indicating a likely resumption of the pair’s broader upward trajectory.
The bullish structural shift is firmly supported by momentum indicators. The Relative Strength Index has penetrated into overbought territory, reflecting intense near-term buying pressure. Concurrently, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator continues its ascent, confirming that bullish momentum is accelerating and may provide the impetus for a test of immediate overhead resistance.
The technical outlook has turned decisively bullish following the confirmed range breakout. The convergence of improving price structure and strong momentum suggests the pair is positioned to challenge the key resistance at 0.6830. While the overbought RSI condition warrants caution for a potential near-term pause, the primary trend direction is higher. A sustained break above 0.6830 would confirm strength and open a path toward the next resistance zone. The bullish scenario would be invalidated by a reversal back into the prior consolidation range.
Resistance Levels: 0.6830, 0.6905
Support Levels: 0.6755, 0.6670
BTC, H4
Bitcoin has sustained a decisive technical breakdown, breaching its long-term uptrend support line and subsequently declining more than 5%. While a minor technical rebound emerged as the price interacted with a prior liquidity zone, the recovery has failed to reclaim the critical 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent decline, situated at 90,620.80. This inability to recapture even a moderate portion of the sell-off confirms that the cryptocurrency remains firmly within a newly established bearish trajectory.
The bearish structure is corroborated by momentum indicators that continue to reflect weakness. Both the Relative Strength Index and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator persist at depressed levels, confirming that underlying selling pressure remains dominant and aligning with the negative near-term bias.
The technical structure has shifted to bearish following the confirmed trendline break and the failed rebound at key Fibonacci resistance. The path of least resistance is now lower. While further consolidation within the liquidity zone is possible, the bearish outlook will remain intact until BTC can reclaim the 90,620.80 level, which would suggest a false breakdown. A failure to do so increases the probability of a retest of recent lows and potential extension of the decline.
Resistance Levels: 94,255.00, 99,525.30
Support Levels: 84,620.40, 78,980.00
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