Published: 31 December 2025,03:40
Chart The Market
EURUSD, H4:
The EURUSD pair has confirmed a significant technical deterioration, breaking decisively below the key 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support at 1.1750 following its failure to sustain gains above the September high of 1.1808. This price action invalidates the immediate bullish structure and signals a high-probability bearish trend reversal.
The breach of the 1.1750 level—which previously provided reliable support during the pair’s ascent—transforms this zone into formidable resistance. This breakdown suggests that buying interest has been exhausted at higher levels, shifting the near-term technical advantage to sellers.
Momentum indicators corroborate the bearish structural shift. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has declined below its 50 mid-line, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. Concurrently, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has completed a bearish crossover below its zero line, confirming that a fresh wave of selling pressure is accelerating.
The convergence of the failed breakout above the September high, the breakdown of the critical Fibonacci support, and the bearish momentum alignment presents a coherent case for further downside. The next significant support level is projected near the 1.1680 area. For the bearish scenario to be invalidated, the pair would need to reclaim and sustain a position above the 1.1808 resistance level—a move that appears challenged under the current momentum profile.
Resistance Levels: 1.1755, 1.1800
Support Levels: 1.1700, 1.1655
BTC, H4
Bitcoin has followed through with a decisive breach above its recent consolidation range, signaling a meaningful shift in near-term momentum. This successful breakout holds particular significance as it follows a prior false breakout attempt, suggesting underlying selling pressure has now been absorbed and genuine buying interest has emerged.
The sustainability of the move is bolstered by the price action finding support at the upper boundary of the former range—a level that has now transitioned from resistance to a foundational support zone. This successful retest is a classic characteristic of a valid breakout, indicating the move is supported by committed capital rather than fleeting speculation.
Momentum indicators align with this constructive shift. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) maintains its posture above the neutral 50 level, reflecting a sustained bullish bias. Concurrently, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing early signs of a bullish reversal, positioning itself for a potential crossover back above its zero line. This configuration suggests that bearish momentum has dissipated and conditions are ripe for a fresh bullish cycle to develop.
The technical structure has improved markedly. The immediate bullish case is contingent on Bitcoin maintaining its footing above the former range resistance. The next significant resistance level is projected near the $90,000 psychological threshold. For the bullish bias to be invalidated, a break back below the recent range high would be required. The current setup favors further near-term appreciation, with the successful breakout and supporting momentum indicators shifting the tactical advantage to the bulls.
Resistance Levels: 89,915.00, 93,580.00
Support Levels: 85,635.00, 80,300.00
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