Christmas Week Ahead: Markets Calm as Volatility Likely to Subside
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Christmas Week Ahead: Markets Calm as Volatility Likely to Subside

Published: 19 December 2025,08:48

Published: 19 December 2025,08:48

Weekly Outlook New

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The Week Ahead: Week of December 22, 2025 (GMT+3)

Weekly Market Preview
Over the past week, markets experienced significant volatility, particularly following monetary policy announcements from several major central banks, including the Bank of England, European Central Bank, and Bank of Japan.

In addition, a number of crucial economic releases—including inflation reports from multiple countries and key U.S. data—added to market swings. The U.S. CPI, Core PCE Price Index, and the long-awaited Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate were particularly important, coming on the heels of the U.S. government shutdown.

After last week’s high-impact events, markets are likely to enter a calmer and more subdued phase as Christmas approaches. Several major markets will be closed, so trading activity is expected to remain light. From a data perspective, this week’s focus will be on the UK and U.S. economic releases.

Key Events to Watch:

Monday, December 22 – 02:50
UK GDP (QoQ) (Q3)
Previous: 0.1% | Forecast: N/A | Actual: N/A

The UK economy has remained subdued, with recent inflation reports underperforming expectations, which may continue to weigh on growth. Pound Sterling experienced notable volatility last week due to the Bank of England rate decision and CPI report. The UK GDP release could be the last significant catalyst for the pound in 2025, and may determine whether Sterling can break key resistance levels or remain range-bound.

Tuesday, December 23 – 21:30
US GDP (QoQ) (Q3) 

Previous: 3.80% | Forecast: N/A | Actual: N/A

The U.S. dollar faced significant volatility last week, but the overall trend remains tilted bearish, reflecting weaker U.S. economic performance across inflation and labor markets. The US GDP report will be a crucial data point in the final high-impact week of 2025, as it could influence the dollar’s trend heading into 2026. Market participants will closely monitor this release to gauge potential movements in the greenback.

Wednesday, December 24 – 18:00
Crude Oil Inventories 

Previous: -1.274M | Forecast: N/A | Actual: N/A

Crude oil prices have experienced significant swings over the past week, influenced by potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire developments and possible Venezuela sanctions. Moving forward, the Crude Oil Inventories report will be another key market driver. Traders will watch whether oil breaks below record low support levels and extends losses, or rebounds after recent declines. Inventory data could trigger fresh short-term movements and help determine price direction into the holiday period.ver, rising geopolitical tensions between Japan and China continue to weigh on sentiment, creating uncertainty over Japan’s economic outlook along with monetary decisions from the Bank of Japan.

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