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Monthly Archives: September 2025

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Sterling Stuck Between Growth and Inflation

Written on September 15, 2025 at 7:15 am, by

Key Takeaways: *Growth stagnates (flat GDP, weak industry, softer labor market) while inflation stays high. *BoE boxed in: sticky inflation prevents cuts, but growth too weak to hike further. *Politics adds uncertainty ahead of Autumn Statement, keeping GBP in tight ranges. Market Summary: Sterling continues to tread water, with GBP/USD trading near 1.3550, as investorsContinue Reading

Oil Jumps on Strikes, But Surplus Caps Gains

Written on September 15, 2025 at 6:44 am, by

Key Takeaways: *Geopolitics injects short-term risk premium (Ukraine drone strikes, Russia supply curbs). *Long-term surplus remains intact: OPEC+ supply, record U.S. output, sluggish demand. *Producers cutting jobs/capex signal stress, but the market remains biased to fade rallies. Market Summary: Oil markets remain whipsawed, with Brent crude hovering near $67 as traders juggle immediate supply disruptionsContinue Reading

Euro Climbs on Policy Divergence, but Stretched Gains Look Fragile

Written on September 15, 2025 at 6:34 am, by

Key Takeaways: *ECB hawkish hold contrasts with Fed easing expectations, boosting EUR appeal. *Sentiment lifted by reduced safe-haven demand and firmer Eurozone confidence. *Gains risk overheating: stretched positioning leaves EUR vulnerable to U.S. data surprises. Market Summary: The euro has pushed toward 1.1780 against the dollar, powered by one of the market’s clearest themes: policyContinue Reading

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